Global Threat Outlook 2026: A New Operating Reality
Global risk conditions have shifted from episodic disruption to permanent friction.
Sanctions, security controls, and regulatory pressure are no longer temporary responses to crisis, but standing features of the operating environment. Global Threat Outlook 2026 introduces a framework for understanding this change in kind and why traditional compliance and risk models increasingly lag reality. Rather than offering prescriptions, the series examines how risk is produced, enforced, and experienced in practice across regions and sectors, with particular attention to maritime and cross-border operations. The purpose is recognition. To clarify how the baseline has changed, and what that means for governance, defensibility, and strategic decision making in 2026.
When Movement Creates Exposure
Risk is often assessed as if it were fixed to a location or jurisdiction. In practice, some of the most consequential exposure forms during movement, as people and assets pass between legal, political, and enforcement environments. This article explores how risk emerges in transit, often outside formal compliance or planning frameworks. For operators working across borders, understanding where exposure forms is essential to maintaining control.
Sanctions, Influence, and the Hidden Risk in European Deal-Making
Cross-border deals in Europe increasingly carry risk that is not visible in filings. Political exposure, state-linked capital, and informal influence all introduce potential consequences that go beyond compliance checklists. This article explores how intelligence-led diligence reveals hidden affiliations, clarifies reputational risk, and enables strategic clarity before commitments are made. In complex jurisdictions, what you do not see can alter the entire outcome.
Protective Intelligence and the Reality of High-Risk Travel
Travel risk for high-profile individuals is rarely about the destination alone. For executives, public figures, and private clients operating across Europe and beyond, exposure follows the person, not the place. This article examines how protective intelligence clarifies situational risk, movement patterns, and behavioural dynamics that static travel protocols overlook. When visibility cannot be reduced, awareness must be heightened.
Private Risk Intelligence for Europe’s High-Profile Individuals
Wealth and responsibility bring visibility, and with it, exposure. For high-profile individuals and families across Europe, personal risk no longer fits within the boundaries of traditional security. This article explores how intelligence-led advisory work identifies patterns, behaviours, and vulnerabilities that standard protocols often miss. When lives are complex and public, protection must begin with understanding.
Legal Strategy in Context: Intelligence for European General Counsel
Legal risk in Europe increasingly intersects with politics, reputation, and regulatory complexity. General Counsel working across jurisdictions face a growing need for context that standard diligence cannot provide. This article explores how strategic intelligence equips legal teams to identify unseen exposure, anticipate pressure, and shape more informed outcomes. When decisions carry consequence, clarity begins before a dispute arises.
Intelligence-Led Strategy in a Fragmented World
Strategy across Europe is no longer shaped by economic signals alone. With geopolitics now influencing everything from regulation to supply chains, executive teams require more than traditional planning. This piece explores how intelligence-led foresight enables decision-makers to navigate volatility, test assumptions, and build strategies grounded in real-world complexity. In environments defined by uncertainty, timing and orientation are the real advantages.