Global Threat Outlook 2026: A New Operating Reality

Global risk conditions have shifted from episodic disruption to permanent friction.

Sanctions, security controls, and regulatory pressure are no longer temporary responses to crisis, but standing features of the operating environment. Global Threat Outlook 2026 introduces a framework for understanding this change in kind and why traditional compliance and risk models increasingly lag reality. Rather than offering prescriptions, the series examines how risk is produced, enforced, and experienced in practice across regions and sectors, with particular attention to maritime and cross-border operations. The purpose is recognition. To clarify how the baseline has changed, and what that means for governance, defensibility, and strategic decision making in 2026.